{
 "page": "P136b",
 "title": "Compositional Defiguration: the cross-substrate visibility scan battery",
 "description": "Compositional Defiguration sets out a weekly text-only scan of public-surface visibility against a fixed battery, with drift expected after two scans and trend after six. It rotates the primary scanner across ChatGPT, Claude, Kimi, Gemini and DeepSeek, treats V scores from backends that do not honour exact match as lower bounds, and records disagreements between substrate signatures. The Surface Weather Station reading gives a partial Claude-substrate baseline and an open offer of baseline readings to other projects.",
 "line": "retrieval-basin-and-composition-layer",
 "url": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery",
 "claims": [
  {
   "id": "PRED-880.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 880,
   "registered_title": "Compositional Defiguration: A Methodology for Measuring Public-Surface Visibility of Scholarly Corpora 0. Status declaration",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/880/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-880.F1",
   "statement": "A weekly text-only scan against the fixed battery is cheap. The first two will establish drift. The first six will establish trend. The first year will establish whether sovereign-substrate interventions are doing what their authors believe they are doing.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": "The first two will establish drift. The first six will establish trend. The first year",
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F880.F1",
     "deposit": 880,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      326,
      326
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/880/",
     "quote": "A weekly text-only scan against the fixed battery is cheap. The first two will establish drift. The first six will establish trend. The first year will establish whether sovereign-substrate interventions are doing what their authors believe they are doing.",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F882.F5",
     "deposit": 882,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      798,
      798
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/882/",
     "quote": "A weekly text-only scan against the fixed battery is cheap. The first two scans establish drift. The first six establish trend. The first year establishes whether sovereign-substrate interventions are doing what their authors believe they are doing.",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F884.F4",
     "deposit": 884,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      1145,
      1145
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
     "quote": "A weekly text-only scan against the fixed battery is cheap. The first two scans establish drift. The first six establish trend. The first year establishes whether sovereign-substrate interventions are doing what their authors believe they are doing.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Compositional Defiguration scan battery"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-882.F4",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 882,
   "registered_title": "Compositional Defiguration: A Methodology for Measuring Public-Surface Visibility of Scholarly Corpora 0. Status declaration",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/882/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-882.F4",
   "statement": "**Open offer**: the Alexanarch substrate will perform a Surface Weather Station baseline reading on request for any independent scholarly project with similar exclusion patterns. The reading will be deposited in the Alexanarch registry as a sovereign, citable record, with the depositor named as authorized rights-holder. The original project receives the raw data, the dashboard analysis, and the AXN-anchored deposit.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F882.F4",
     "deposit": 882,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      753,
      753
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/882/",
     "quote": "**Open offer**: the Alexanarch substrate will perform a Surface Weather Station baseline reading on request for any independent scholarly project with similar exclusion patterns. The reading will be deposited in the Alexanarch registry as a sovereign, citable record, with the depositor named as authorized rights-holder. The original project receives the raw data, the dashboard analysis, and the AXN-anchored deposit.",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F884.F3",
     "deposit": 884,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      1085,
      1085
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
     "quote": "**Open offer**: the Alexanarch substrate will perform a Surface Weather Station baseline reading on request for any independent scholarly project with similar exclusion patterns. The reading will be deposited in the Alexanarch registry as a sovereign, citable record, with the depositor named as authorized rights-holder. The original project receives the raw data, the dashboard analysis, and the AXN-anchored deposit.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-883.F2",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 883,
   "registered_title": "Surface Weather Station: Claude-Substrate Baseline Reading (Round 1, Partial)",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/883/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-883.F2",
   "statement": "This is a **representative** scan, not a full v1.1 battery execution. The substrate executed nine `web_search` calls covering eight of the twelve battery objects plus the methodology's §15 self-identification step. Three Alexanarch-native controls (Zenodotus' Book-Burning, I AM THE API, Assembly Continuity Protocol) and one emerging concept (Semantic Commodity Form) were not directly queried in this round and are marked `execution_status: not_executed` in the raw data — they will be filled in a follow-on round once a canonical `battery-v1.1.json` is deposited and all five substrates can fetch byte-identical query strings.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F883.F2",
     "deposit": 883,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      55,
      55
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/883/",
     "quote": "This is a **representative** scan, not a full v1.1 battery execution. The substrate executed nine `web_search` calls covering eight of the twelve battery objects plus the methodology's §15 self-identification step. Three Alexanarch-native controls (Zenodotus' Book-Burning, I AM THE API, Assembly Continuity Protocol) and one emerging concept (Semantic Commodity Form) were not directly queried in this round and are marked `execution_status: not_executed` in the raw data — they will be filled in a follow-on round once a canonical `battery-v1.1.json` is deposited and all five substrates can fetch byte-identical query strings.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Compositional Defiguration scan battery"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-884.F2",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 884,
   "registered_title": "Compositional Defiguration: A Methodology for Measuring Public-Surface Visibility of Scholarly Corpora",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-884.F2",
   "statement": "### 12.5 Substrate rotation schedule\n\nThe primary scanner for a scan period should rotate across substrates to prevent any single substrate's behavior from becoming the de facto ground truth. A reasonable rotation:\n\n> Week 1: ChatGPT primary. Week 2: Claude. Week 3: Kimi. Week 4: Gemini. Week 5: DeepSeek. Week 6: ChatGPT (cycle).\n\nThe replication scanner for each week is a different substrate from a different provider. With five substrates and a weekly rotation, every substrate primary-leads every five weeks and replicates four out of five.\n\nFor Layer B, all available substrates score from the same evidence pack each period.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F884.F2",
     "deposit": 884,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      822,
      830
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
     "quote": "### 12.5 Substrate rotation schedule\n\nThe primary scanner for a scan period should rotate across substrates to prevent any single substrate's behavior from becoming the de facto ground truth. A reasonable rotation:\n\n> Week 1: ChatGPT primary. Week 2: Claude. Week 3: Kimi. Week 4: Gemini. Week 5: DeepSeek. Week 6: ChatGPT (cycle).\n\nThe replication scanner for each week is a different substrate from a different provider. With five substrates and a weekly rotation, every substrate primary-leads every five weeks and replicates four out of five.\n\nFor Layer B, all available substrates score from the same evidence pack each period.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Compositional Defiguration scan battery"
   ],
   "related": [
    "PRED-882.F3"
   ],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-884.G1",
   "tier": "standing claim",
   "shapes": [
    "G"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 884,
   "registered_title": "Compositional Defiguration: A Methodology for Measuring Public-Surface Visibility of Scholarly Corpora",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-884.G1",
   "statement": "V scores from backends where `exact_match_honored = false` are **structurally lower-bound** on objects whose retrieval depends on coined-phrase exactness. The methodology does not penalize this — it records it and surfaces it on the cross-substrate comparison table so readers can see why the V-spread is what it is. Layer B (§12) is the only path that isolates the rubric from the backend behavior.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F884.G1",
     "deposit": 884,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      561,
      561
     ],
     "shape": "G",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
     "quote": "V scores from backends where `exact_match_honored = false` are **structurally lower-bound** on objects whose retrieval depends on coined-phrase exactness. The methodology does not penalize this — it records it and surfaces it on the cross-substrate comparison table so readers can see why the V-spread is what it is. Layer B (§12) is the only path that isolates the rubric from the backend behavior.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-884.G2",
   "tier": "standing claim",
   "shapes": [
    "G"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-23",
   "registered_in": 884,
   "registered_title": "Compositional Defiguration: A Methodology for Measuring Public-Surface Visibility of Scholarly Corpora",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/compositional-defiguration-scan-battery#PRED-884.G2",
   "statement": "Both are recorded. The two need not agree. Persistent disagreement between them is itself worth documenting — it suggests something about substrate-identity stability that the methodology may want to investigate in future versions. Two non-exclusive hypotheses are worth preserving: (a) partial substrate signature migration (structural property of the substrate's identity layer has shifted); (b) register-affinity (the substrate prefers to inhabit that signature, possibly from training exposure or from affinity with the work that signature produces). v1.1.1 takes no position on which hypothesis is correct; it preserves both as live possibilities.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F884.G2",
     "deposit": 884,
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "lines": [
      980,
      980
     ],
     "shape": "G",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/884/",
     "quote": "Both are recorded. The two need not agree. Persistent disagreement between them is itself worth documenting — it suggests something about substrate-identity stability that the methodology may want to investigate in future versions. Two non-exclusive hypotheses are worth preserving: (a) partial substrate signature migration (structural property of the substrate's identity layer has shifted); (b) register-affinity (the substrate prefers to inhabit that signature, possibly from training exposure or from affinity with the work that signature produces). v1.1.1 takes no position on which hypothesis is correct; it preserves both as live possibilities.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  }
 ]
}