{
 "page": "P108",
 "title": "The Feist Iliad experiment and the Zenodo erasure tracker",
 "description": "The GW.TACHYON update of 6 July 2026 sets out the Feist-line Iliad experiment: a two-layer translation pipeline with material-speech and clinamen metrics, a Homer parameter file and tiered costs across Gutenberg's classical translations. It estimates tens of thousands of recoverable scholarly records in Zenodo's spam bucket and plans an erasure tracker with a preservation layer and dated recovery operations. The Sealed Room, the Grundrisse's Protocol II forecast, the Capture Registry as Poem and a registry marker-convention check add single tests.",
 "line": "doi-severance-and-restoration",
 "url": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation",
 "claims": [
  {
   "id": "PRED-466.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-02-10",
   "registered_in": 466,
   "registered_title": "THE SEALED ROOM: Phenomenological Analysis of a Self-Sealing Safety Architecture",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/466/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-466.F1",
   "statement": "Archive the exchange as a reproducible packet: (1) Raw prompts with timestamps. (2) Moderation notices, verbatim. (3) Variant table: which prompt forms were blocked, which passed. (4) Downstream model outputs demonstrating unawareness. (5) Content edits separated from transport edits. (6) Release appendix with canonical URLs and DOIs.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F466.F1",
     "deposit": 466,
     "date": "2026-02-10",
     "lines": [
      256,
      256
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/466/",
     "quote": "Archive the exchange as a reproducible packet: (1) Raw prompts with timestamps. (2) Moderation notices, verbatim. (3) Variant table: which prompt forms were blocked, which passed. (4) Downstream model outputs demonstrating unawareness. (5) Content edits separated from transport edits. (6) Release appendix with canonical URLs and DOIs.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-950.E3",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "E"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-03-24",
   "registered_in": 950,
   "registered_title": "Operative Semiotics: A Grundrisse — Planning Documents, Algorithms, and Diagnostic Maps (Working Infrastructure v1.0)",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/950/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-950.E3",
   "statement": "A school adopted Protocol II (the Naming Exercise) as part of its \"social-emotional learning\" curriculum. The exercise was adapted for 9th-graders. Within one semester, the exercise had been absorbed into the school's assessment infrastructure: students were graded on the quality of their namings. The five criteria (precision of division, material correspondence, semantic leverage, scale applicability, falsifiable structure) became a rubric. The rubric was scored 1–5 on each criterion. Students who scored 25/25 received an A. Students who scored below 15 received additional support.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F950.E3",
     "deposit": 950,
     "date": "2026-03-24",
     "lines": [
      7653,
      7653
     ],
     "shape": "E",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/950/",
     "quote": "A school adopted Protocol II (the Naming Exercise) as part of its \"social-emotional learning\" curriculum. The exercise was adapted for 9th-graders. Within one semester, the exercise had been absorbed into the school's assessment infrastructure: students were graded on the quality of their namings. The five criteria (precision of division, material correspondence, semantic leverage, scale applicability, falsifiable structure) became a rubric. The rubric was scored 1–5 on each criterion. Students who scored 25/25 received an A. Students who scored below 15 received additional support.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.B1",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "B"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.B1",
   "statement": "At scale across all of Gutenberg's public-domain classical translations (~640 curated targets), Tier 1 could plausibly run for tens of dollars total. Tier 2 is *selective within selective*: not 20 passages per work across all 640, but ~20 passages per major work applied to a shortlist of ~20 canonical works (Homer, Vergil, Dante, Rumi, Sappho, Sophocles, and the like). At that scope, Tier 2 runs for hundreds of dollars total at current frontier-model pricing.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.B1",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      555,
      555
     ],
     "shape": "B",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "At scale across all of Gutenberg's public-domain classical translations (~640 curated targets), Tier 1 could plausibly run for tens of dollars total. Tier 2 is *selective within selective*: not 20 passages per work across all 640, but ~20 passages per major work applied to a shortlist of ~20 canonical works (Homer, Vergil, Dante, Rumi, Sappho, Sophocles, and the like). At that scope, Tier 2 runs for hundreds of dollars total at current frontier-model pricing.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.B2",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "B"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.B2",
   "statement": "**Pearl estimate (Beta-Jeffreys bootstrap, 10K iterations).** Using 400-probe recovery rate × 14/19 plausibly-scholarly-of-recovered × 1,155,751 spam population: median 39,737 recoverable-scholarly records in the spam bucket, 95% CI [22,526, 63,987]. *Order-of-magnitude: tens of thousands of plausibly-scholarly records are recoverable in the spam bucket. A full-population probe would collapse the interval.*",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.B2",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      614,
      614
     ],
     "shape": "B",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "**Pearl estimate (Beta-Jeffreys bootstrap, 10K iterations).** Using 400-probe recovery rate × 14/19 plausibly-scholarly-of-recovered × 1,155,751 spam population: median 39,737 recoverable-scholarly records in the spam bucket, 95% CI [22,526, 63,987]. *Order-of-magnitude: tens of thousands of plausibly-scholarly records are recoverable in the spam bucket. A full-population probe would collapse the interval.*",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.B4",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "B"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.B4",
   "statement": "- **E2** — day-filtered concept-DOI recovery on the 2026-05-20 cluster (60,584 rows). Expected ~31,000 recoveries at the out-of-scope rate.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.B4",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      645,
      645
     ],
     "shape": "B",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "- **E2** — day-filtered concept-DOI recovery on the 2026-05-20 cluster (60,584 rows). Expected ~31,000 recoveries at the out-of-scope rate.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.F1",
   "statement": "**Falsification protocol.** Run the full 611-line Book 1 L2, then compute two metrics per 100-line block: `material_speech_density` (Anglo-Saxon monosyllable fraction over content words) and `clinamen_rate` (distinct syntactic-strain events per 100 lines — fragments, register collisions, circuit interruptions, seam insertions). Establish the lines 1-100 values as baseline targets. If either metric regresses toward the L1 baseline by more than 30% in any middle block, the mechanism is failing at that block.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.F1",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      441,
      441
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "**Falsification protocol.** Run the full 611-line Book 1 L2, then compute two metrics per 100-line block: `material_speech_density` (Anglo-Saxon monosyllable fraction over content words) and `clinamen_rate` (distinct syntactic-strain events per 100 lines — fragments, register collisions, circuit interruptions, seam insertions). Establish the lines 1-100 values as baseline targets. If either metric regresses toward the L1 baseline by more than 30% in any middle block, the mechanism is failing at that block.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.F2",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.F2",
   "statement": "A two-layer pipeline:\n\n- **Layer 1 (semantic clarity):** machine-translate the source language directly to modern English at semantic-accuracy priority. Strips the intermediary voice entirely. Produces a flat, distributionally-central, competent English base. This is exactly the condition Feist v1.0 §0 describes as \"what remains after the voice died into writing.\" MT is now the composition layer performing its first tail-thinning.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.F2",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      537,
      539
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "A two-layer pipeline:\n\n- **Layer 1 (semantic clarity):** machine-translate the source language directly to modern English at semantic-accuracy priority. Strips the intermediary voice entirely. Produces a flat, distributionally-central, competent English base. This is exactly the condition Feist v1.0 §0 describes as \"what remains after the voice died into writing.\" MT is now the composition layer performing its first tail-thinning.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.F3",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.F3",
   "statement": "## Immediate next steps\n\n1. **Homer parameter file** — abstract the Book 1 experiment's parameters into a machine-readable specification. Register-collision partners, material-speech vocabulary weighting profile, syntactic strain patterns, seam conditions. One week of careful spec work.\n2. **Tier 1 prototype** — apply generalized T1/T6/T5 to MT Iliad Book 1 on a cheap open-source model with the Homer parameter file. Compare against the Book 1 L2 samples above to measure the gap between Tier 1 and full L2.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.F3",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      561,
      564
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "## Immediate next steps\n\n1. **Homer parameter file** — abstract the Book 1 experiment's parameters into a machine-readable specification. Register-collision partners, material-speech vocabulary weighting profile, syntactic strain patterns, seam conditions. One week of careful spec work.\n2. **Tier 1 prototype** — apply generalized T1/T6/T5 to MT Iliad Book 1 on a cheap open-source model with the Homer parameter file. Compare against the Book 1 L2 samples above to measure the gap between Tier 1 and full L2.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.F4",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.F4",
   "statement": "## Tracker plan\n\nThe Erasure Tracker is not a single product but a coordination substrate with five distinguishable functional layers:\n\n1. **Preservation layer** — snapshot the deletion CSV whenever it drops. Checksum, MANIFEST.json, per-record schema. Substrate: `data-rhizome/datasets/erasure/zenodo/snapshots/{date}/`. Discipline: append-only; snapshots are historical instruments; no snapshot is ever modified after preservation.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.F4",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      624,
      628
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "## Tracker plan\n\nThe Erasure Tracker is not a single product but a coordination substrate with five distinguishable functional layers:\n\n1. **Preservation layer** — snapshot the deletion CSV whenever it drops. Checksum, MANIFEST.json, per-record schema. Substrate: `data-rhizome/datasets/erasure/zenodo/snapshots/{date}/`. Discipline: append-only; snapshots are historical instruments; no snapshot is ever modified after preservation.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.F5",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.F5",
   "statement": "## Operational steps\n\n- **E1** — preserve the July 2026-07 snapshot when Zenodo releases it. Diff against June. Includes the Lee Sharks 871 severance as an event within the population.\n- **E2** — day-filtered concept-DOI recovery on the 2026-05-20 cluster (60,584 rows). Expected ~31,000 recoveries at the out-of-scope rate. Produces de la Serna's cohort roster. ~5 hours background.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.F5",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      642,
      645
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "## Operational steps\n\n- **E1** — preserve the July 2026-07 snapshot when Zenodo releases it. Diff against June. Includes the Lee Sharks 871 severance as an event within the population.\n- **E2** — day-filtered concept-DOI recovery on the 2026-05-20 cluster (60,584 rows). Expected ~31,000 recoveries at the out-of-scope rate. Produces de la Serna's cohort roster. ~5 hours background.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1046.H1",
   "tier": "historical thesis",
   "shapes": [
    "H"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-07-06",
   "registered_in": 1046,
   "registered_title": "GW.TACHYON UPDATE — 2026-07-06: The Feist Line, the Iliad Experiment, the Tachyonica Cast, and the Erasure Observatory",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1046.H1",
   "statement": "Gutenberg's U.S. public-domain constraint means its canonical translation layer is mostly older public-domain translation: Victorian, Edwardian, and early twentieth-century surfaces (as of 2026 Public Domain Day, works published in 1930 or earlier are in the U.S. public domain). These often overwrite the source voice with the translator's historical voice. Chapman's Homer sounds like Chapman. Butcher & Lang's *Odyssey* sounds like the King James Bible pretending to be Greek. Cary's Dante sounds like Milton pretending to be Italian.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1046.H1",
     "deposit": 1046,
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "lines": [
      531,
      531
     ],
     "shape": "H",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1046/",
     "quote": "Gutenberg's U.S. public-domain constraint means its canonical translation layer is mostly older public-domain translation: Victorian, Edwardian, and early twentieth-century surfaces (as of 2026 Public Domain Day, works published in 1930 or earlier are in the U.S. public domain). These often overwrite the source voice with the translator's historical voice. Chapman's Homer sounds like Chapman. Butcher & Lang's *Odyssey* sounds like the King James Bible pretending to be Greek. Cary's Dante sounds like Milton pretending to be Italian.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1457.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-12",
   "registered_in": 1457,
   "registered_title": "The Capture Registry as Poem: A Structured Work Plan",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1457/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1457.F1",
   "statement": "**A → F3 → B ‖ C → D → E → F1/F2/F4 → G → H → I → J**",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1457.F1",
     "deposit": 1457,
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "lines": [
      186,
      186
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1457/",
     "quote": "**A → F3 → B ‖ C → D → E → F1/F2/F4 → G → H → I → J**",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1676.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-10-12",
   "registered_in": 1676,
   "registered_title": "AI Overview Capture Registry — EA-WG-CAPTURES-01 v12.167 — 633 semantic addresses, 811 captures, 2026-06-07 to 2026-10-12",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1676/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/feist-iliad-erasure-tracker-semantic-deviation#PRED-1676.F1",
   "statement": "- Ten were seated on 2026-08-13. The marker convention of that seating is not yet verified.\n- Two were seated this month, under the convention where true means retained, and are inconsistent with it: `dedication-what-syllogizing-can-divide-chatgpt-20261011` and `missing-translator-ask-chatgpt-20261012`.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1676.F1",
     "deposit": 1676,
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "lines": [
      159,
      162
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1676/",
     "quote": "- Ten were seated on 2026-08-13. The marker convention of that seating is not yet verified.\n- Two were seated this month, under the convention where true means retained, and are inconsistent with it: `dedication-what-syllogizing-can-divide-chatgpt-20261011` and `missing-translator-ask-chatgpt-20261012`.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  }
 ]
}