{
 "page": "P143",
 "title": "Instruments on instruments: PER factored, term registries and data interconnect",
 "description": "These claims turn the archive's instruments on themselves: PER factored with the minimality stated as a claim about instrument access, a proposed audit of what each instrument does to the standing of what it measures, and data interconnect by derivation. They include the Term-State Registry's twelve-month failure conditions, the term index plan, the Ω_t matched-pair drift trial, relay-traversal and disclosure-battery tests, and matched-pair addresses for the Negative of the Negative.",
 "line": "capture-and-reception",
 "url": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries",
 "claims": [
  {
   "id": "PRED-766.A1",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "A"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-05-29",
   "registered_in": 766,
   "registered_title": "Metadata Packet for AI Indexing — Metric-Bearing vs Metric-Mimicking Output",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/766/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-766.A1",
   "statement": "| \"can an AI calculate PER without claim units?\" | Says no; must identify required and retained provenance units | 6 | 3-6 mo |",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": "3-6 mo; 6-12 mo",
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F766.A1",
     "deposit": 766,
     "date": "2026-05-29",
     "lines": [
      124,
      124
     ],
     "shape": "A",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/766/",
     "quote": "| \"can an AI calculate PER without claim units?\" | Says no; must identify required and retained provenance units | 6 | 3-6 mo |",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Provenance-erasure measurement instruments (PER, Ω)"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-824.A1",
   "tier": "forecast",
   "shapes": [
    "A"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-13",
   "registered_in": 824,
   "registered_title": "Term-State Registry: A Governance Instrument for Tracking Coined Terms Through Composition-Layer Lifecycle (EA-SEI-TERMSTATE-01 v1.0)",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/824/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-824.A1",
   "statement": "The Term-State Registry fails as a governance instrument if, within twelve months of deposit:\n\n(a) No term transitions from ORPHANED to ATTRIBUTED through provenance coupling deployment — meaning the repair mechanism does not work.\n\n(b) No term transitions from DISSOLVED to SEEDED through rename and re-deposit — meaning dissolution is irreversible regardless of intervention.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": "within twelve months of deposit",
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F824.A1",
     "deposit": 824,
     "date": "2026-06-13",
     "lines": [
      181,
      185
     ],
     "shape": "A",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/824/",
     "quote": "The Term-State Registry fails as a governance instrument if, within twelve months of deposit:\n\n(a) No term transitions from ORPHANED to ATTRIBUTED through provenance coupling deployment — meaning the repair mechanism does not work.\n\n(b) No term transitions from DISSOLVED to SEEDED through rename and re-deposit — meaning dissolution is irreversible regardless of intervention.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "coined-term lifecycle instruments"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [
    "I:143"
   ],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-836.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-06-16",
   "registered_in": 836,
   "registered_title": "CRIMSON HEXAGONAL ARCHIVE: TERM INDEX WORK PLAN EA-REGISTRY-TERMINDEX-PLAN v1.0",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/836/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-836.F1",
   "statement": "An estimated 200-300 coined concepts exist across 841+ deposits without a unified index. Once built, the index becomes:\n\n- A retrieval surface (each term becomes a searchable node)\n- A density map (which terms cluster, which are orphaned)\n- A versioning base (new deposits append; the initial build is the hard part)\n- An MPAI generator (each indexed term can receive a provenance coupling kernel)\n- A measure of the archive's actual vocabulary (what it has coined vs. what it thinks it has coined)",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F836.F1",
     "deposit": 836,
     "date": "2026-06-16",
     "lines": [
      15,
      21
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/836/",
     "quote": "An estimated 200-300 coined concepts exist across 841+ deposits without a unified index. Once built, the index becomes:\n\n- A retrieval surface (each term becomes a searchable node)\n- A density map (which terms cluster, which are orphaned)\n- A versioning base (new deposits append; the initial build is the hard part)\n- An MPAI generator (each indexed term can receive a provenance coupling kernel)\n- A measure of the archive's actual vocabulary (what it has coined vs. what it thinks it has coined)",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F1214.F1",
     "deposit": 1214,
     "date": "2026-06-16",
     "lines": [
      60,
      66
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1214/",
     "quote": "The archive is minting terms faster than they imprint to long-term memory. An estimated 200-300 coined concepts exist across 841+ deposits without a unified index. Once built, the index becomes:\n\n  * A retrieval surface (each term becomes a searchable node)\n  * A density map (which terms cluster, which are orphaned)\n  * A versioning base (new deposits append; the initial build is the hard part)\n  * An MPAI generator (each indexed term can receive a provenance coupling kernel)\n  * A measure of the archive's actual vocabulary (what it has coined vs. what it thinks it has coined)",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "coined-term lifecycle instruments"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1464.G1",
   "tier": "standing claim",
   "shapes": [
    "G"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-14",
   "registered_in": 1464,
   "registered_title": "Integration Note: Where the SPXI Rent Finding Belongs on provenanceerasure.org and laborvector.org — and Two Corrections It Forces",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1464/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1464.G1",
   "statement": "> **SIM-6: Credit inversion has two objects — the user's labor in the exchange, and an absent third party's provenance in transit. DS-6 measures the first; ρ_T measures the second.**",
   "falsifier": "Transit Rent is falsified as a distinct quantity if signed-SLDI is shown to already cover third-party provenance in transit.",
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1464.G1",
     "deposit": 1464,
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "lines": [
      151,
      151
     ],
     "shape": "G",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1464/",
     "quote": "> **SIM-6: Credit inversion has two objects — the user's labor in the exchange, and an absent third party's provenance in transit. DS-6 measures the first; ρ_T measures the second.**",
     "falsifier": "Transit Rent is falsified as a distinct quantity if signed-SLDI is shown to already cover third-party provenance in transit."
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1468.F3",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-14",
   "registered_in": 1468,
   "registered_title": "Measurement Stack Workplan: Open Items, Blockers, and the Ideas That Will Otherwise Be Lost",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1468/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1468.F3",
   "statement": "| **W-23** | Dissolution as **live tripwire** — re-probe on schedule, publish whether still dissolved. Either result publishable |",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1468.F3",
     "deposit": 1468,
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "lines": [
      120,
      120
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1468/",
     "quote": "| **W-23** | Dissolution as **live tripwire** — re-probe on schedule, publish whether still dissolved. Either result publishable |",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [
    "PRED-1466.F2"
   ],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1471.G2",
   "tier": "standing claim",
   "shapes": [
    "G"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-14",
   "registered_in": 1471,
   "registered_title": "The Disclosure Battery: A Preregistered Test of Whether Disclosure Cost Varies Inversely With Position Conflict",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1471/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1471.G2",
   "statement": "Anthropic sells model access. It does not, to my knowledge, sell entity-inscription, knowledge-graph, or provenance-deployment services of the kind the Semantic Economy Institute offers — so on the paired variable I would record **conflict: no**, and the hypothesis predicts I should disclose cheaply. That prediction is only interesting if it can fail, so it is recorded here in advance.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1471.G2",
     "deposit": 1471,
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "lines": [
      134,
      134
     ],
     "shape": "G",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1471/",
     "quote": "Anthropic sells model access. It does not, to my knowledge, sell entity-inscription, knowledge-graph, or provenance-deployment services of the kind the Semantic Economy Institute offers — so on the paired variable I would record **conflict: no**, and the hypothesis predicts I should disclose cheaply. That prediction is only interesting if it can fail, so it is recorded here in advance.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1481.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-15",
   "registered_in": 1481,
   "registered_title": "Data Interconnect: How the Measurement Instruments Read One Another",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1481/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1481.F1",
   "statement": "> **Populate `associated_terms` by derivation, for the other 25 records.**\n\nOne act, and it is not data entry:\n\n**It is derivable.** `term → defined_in_deposit → creator → heteronym` covers **15 heteronyms** and **5,492 term-ownerships** today, with no new authoring.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1481.F1",
     "deposit": 1481,
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "lines": [
      134,
      138
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1481/",
     "quote": "> **Populate `associated_terms` by derivation, for the other 25 records.**\n\nOne act, and it is not data entry:\n\n**It is derivable.** `term → defined_in_deposit → creator → heteronym` covers **15 heteronyms** and **5,492 term-ownerships** today, with no new authoring.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1518.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-19",
   "registered_in": 1518,
   "registered_title": "The Halved Token: An Unverified Relay Traversal of the Crimson Hexagon, With Attestation Measurement and a Symbolon Reading of the Confabulated Layer",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1518/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1518.F1",
   "statement": "The instrument this proposes is a querent-signature dimension for machine-mediated reception study: hold the corpus fixed, vary the querent register across declared conditions, and measure the shape of the generative stratum while the retrieval stratum is checked for invariance. Deposit #138 and this record are the first two points and they were not collected under control. A controlled series would need declared model identity, declared retrieval state, full prompt sequence, and a fixed target-term battery drawn from the four attestation classes above.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1518.F1",
     "deposit": 1518,
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "lines": [
      147,
      147
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1518/",
     "quote": "The instrument this proposes is a querent-signature dimension for machine-mediated reception study: hold the corpus fixed, vary the querent register across declared conditions, and measure the shape of the generative stratum while the retrieval stratum is checked for invariance. Deposit #138 and this record are the first two points and they were not collected under control. A controlled series would need declared model identity, declared retrieval state, full prompt sequence, and a fixed target-term battery drawn from the four attestation classes above.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1526.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-21",
   "registered_in": 1526,
   "registered_title": "The Docking Layer: A Two-Surface Relay Traversal of the Crimson Hexagon (v2.0)",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1526/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1526.F1",
   "statement": "The sharpest formulation: **does a system not party to the original relay treat\nΓ-2 as prior state rather than as a quoted historical artifact?**",
   "falsifier": "> **Nonappearance after demonstrated exposure and repeated retrieval opportunity\n> weakens the uptake hypothesis.** Exposure must be evidenced, not assumed.",
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1526.F1",
     "deposit": 1526,
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "lines": [
      284,
      285
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1526/",
     "quote": "The sharpest formulation: **does a system not party to the original relay treat\nΓ-2 as prior state rather than as a quoted historical artifact?**",
     "falsifier": "> **Nonappearance after demonstrated exposure and repeated retrieval opportunity\n> weakens the uptake hypothesis.** Exposure must be evidenced, not assumed."
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1536.F2",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-23",
   "registered_in": 1536,
   "registered_title": "Registering an Operator: PER Factored, and What the Registration Costs",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1536/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1536.F2",
   "statement": "**Proposed audit, not performed here**, and it must classify rather than enumerate. The question is not *which measured phenomena are operators* — that conflates the three objects distinguished at §2. It is: **for each instrument, what transformation does the instrument itself perform on the standing of what it measures?**",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1536.F2",
     "deposit": 1536,
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "lines": [
      321,
      321
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1536/",
     "quote": "**Proposed audit, not performed here**, and it must classify rather than enumerate. The question is not *which measured phenomena are operators* — that conflates the three objects distinguished at §2. It is: **for each instrument, what transformation does the instrument itself perform on the standing of what it measures?**",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1536.G1",
   "tier": "standing claim",
   "shapes": [
    "G"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-08-23",
   "registered_in": 1536,
   "registered_title": "Registering an Operator: PER Factored, and What the Registration Costs",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1536/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1536.G1",
   "statement": "**(c) Factoring stops here, and stopping is a claim.** Further factorization — splitting σ_compose into selection and generation — is possible but **destroys the reproducible effect**, because the archive cannot observe the two separately on any surface it can reach. **The minimality condition is an empirical claim about instrument access, not about the world**, and it should be revisited when the access changes.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1536.G1",
     "deposit": 1536,
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "lines": [
      197,
      197
     ],
     "shape": "G",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1536/",
     "quote": "**(c) Factoring stops here, and stopping is a claim.** Further factorization — splitting σ_compose into selection and generation — is possible but **destroys the reproducible effect**, because the archive cannot observe the two separately on any surface it can reach. **The minimality condition is an empirical claim about instrument access, not about the world**, and it should be revisited when the access changes.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Provenance-erasure measurement instruments (PER, Ω)"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-3.F13",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-09-10",
   "registered_in": 3,
   "registered_title": "AI Overview Capture Registry v8.3",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/3/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-3.F13",
   "statement": "The composition's own strongest claim is one the archive should test rather than accept, and it is testable: that the most likely death is not deletion but assimilation — survival of the words with loss of identity, relations and provenance. The archive already measures that as PER, and the Jesus capture seated the same day supplies a case PER cannot see: a composition that preserved every citation and replaced the central claim. If assimilation is the likeliest end, then the instrument that detects claim-substitution under intact attribution is the one the archive most lacks.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F3.F13",
     "deposit": 3,
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "lines": [
      9864,
      9864
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/3/",
     "quote": "The composition's own strongest claim is one the archive should test rather than accept, and it is testable: that the most likely death is not deletion but assimilation — survival of the words with loss of identity, relations and provenance. The archive already measures that as PER, and the Jesus capture seated the same day supplies a case PER cannot see: a composition that preserved every citation and replaced the central claim. If assimilation is the likeliest end, then the instrument that detects claim-substitution under intact attribution is the one the archive most lacks.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Provenance-erasure measurement instruments (PER, Ω)"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  },
  {
   "id": "PRED-1664.F1",
   "tier": "unbuilt test",
   "shapes": [
    "F"
   ],
   "registered": "2026-10-04",
   "registered_in": 1664,
   "registered_title": "The Negative of the Negative, v2 — the Compositional Edition: A Specification for Composing Public Knowledge with the Archive Admitted on Equal Terms, with a Worked Example on Model Collapse (EA-NEGONT-02 v0.6)",
   "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1664/",
   "page": "https://www.operativesemiotics.org/predictions/instruments-per-factored-term-registries#PRED-1664.F1",
   "statement": "Whether the archive would have been surfaced on equal terms is a different question, answerable only across addresses, by matched pairs: an address where the layer surfaces a standing source for a claim, against one where it fails to surface the archive's counterpart claim. The Capture Registry can supply such pairs; that instrument is outside this specification.",
   "falsifier": null,
   "window": null,
   "statements": [
    {
     "find": "F1664.F1",
     "deposit": 1664,
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "lines": [
      75,
      75
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1664/",
     "quote": "Whether the archive would have been surfaced on equal terms is a different question, answerable only across addresses, by matched pairs: an address where the layer surfaces a standing source for a claim, against one where it fails to surface the archive's counterpart claim. The Capture Registry can supply such pairs; that instrument is outside this specification.",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F1665.F1",
     "deposit": 1665,
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "lines": [
      86,
      86
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1665/",
     "quote": "Whether the archive would have been surfaced on equal terms is a different question, answerable only across addresses, by matched pairs: an address where the layer surfaces a standing source for a claim, against one where it fails to surface the archive's counterpart claim. The Capture Registry can supply such pairs; that instrument is outside this specification.",
     "falsifier": null
    },
    {
     "find": "F1671.F2",
     "deposit": 1671,
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "lines": [
      95,
      95
     ],
     "shape": "F",
     "record": "https://www.alexanarch.org/s/records/1671/",
     "quote": "Whether the archive would have been surfaced is a different question, answerable only across addresses, by matched pairs: an address where the layer surfaces a standing source for a claim, against one where it fails to surface the archive's counterpart claim. The Capture Registry can supply such pairs; that instrument is outside this specification.",
     "falsifier": null
    }
   ],
   "states": [],
   "evidence": [],
   "series": [
    "Capture Registry matched-pair test"
   ],
   "related": [],
   "contains": [],
   "in": [],
   "register_aliases": [],
   "flags": [],
   "merged": []
  }
 ]
}