Metadata packet test queries: phased LFB targets and lateral field bleed

These claims set test queries for the archive's metadata packets and state the Lateral Field Bleed score each should reach, phased from weeks to more than a year after deposit. They come from the packets on autonomous warfare, the death drive, provenance after AI, the MPAI disambiguation packets, Phase X, the semantic economy and Alexanarch, and from the LFB protocols paper (#726) and the packet specification v2.0. Most are forecasts and unbuilt tests: desired compositions, ring-by-ring expectations, spillover between linked packets, and phrase-fingerprint workflows.

16
forecasts
9
unbuilt tests
1
priority record
25
deposits
2026-04
earliest

Each claim below is registered at the earliest deposit that states it, and quoted verbatim from the deposit text, with every later statement, its dated revisions, and the later records that claim it came true or failed. The claims are the deposits' own; this page records them and does not judge them.

PRED-689.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-04-25 in #689 · EA-GEO-01: The Geocoded Basin — A Specification for Permanently Anchored Content
### Phase 0 — Detroit seed (2 months) One city. One neighborhood (Eastern Market as the test basin). Recruit 30 depositors. Goal: 200 genuine deposits in 60 days. Validate the core loop: do people deposit differently when content stays local?
PRED-100.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #100 · Autonomous Warfare Does Not End at the Body Metadata Packet for Disambiguation: From Lethal Autonomous Weapons
| Phase | Active tests | Realistic targets | |---|---|---| | Phase 1 (0-3 months) | Tests 1-2 | 2-3 (source presence on long-tail and direct bridge queries) | | Phase 2 (3-6 months) | Tests 3-5 | 2-3 (governance and NATO-adjacent bridges) | | Phase 3 (6-12 months) | Tests 6-7 | 2-4 (platform and broad queries; depends on credibility pathway) | | Phase 4 (12+ months) | Test 8 | 1-3 (policy bridge; competitive field; depends on institutional inbound links) |
1 later statement
#998 · 2026-05-08 | Phase | Active tests | Realistic targets | |---|---|---| | Phase 1 (0-3 months) | Tests 1-2 | 2-3 (source presence on long-tail and direct bridge queries) | | Phase 2 (3-6 months) | Tests 3-5 | 2-3 (governance and NATO-adjacent bridges) | | Phase 3 (6-12 months) | Tests 6-7 | 2-4 (platform and broad queries; depends on credibility pathway) | | Phase 4 (12+ months) | Test 8 | 1-3 (policy bridge; competitive field; depends on institutional inbound links) |
PRED-100.B1forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #100 · Autonomous Warfare Does Not End at the Body Metadata Packet for Disambiguation: From Lethal Autonomous Weapons
Ring 4-5 queries on competitive policy terms (e.g., "autonomous warfare 2026 definition") will be dominated by CRS reports, NATO publications, and major media for the foreseeable future.
1 later statement
#998 · 2026-05-08 Ring 4-5 queries on competitive policy terms (e.g., "autonomous warfare 2026 definition") will be dominated by CRS reports, NATO publications, and major media for the foreseeable future.
PRED-101.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #101 · The Death Drive Is Not Self-Destruction Metadata Packet for AI Indexing, Disambiguation, and Lateral Field Ble
| Phase | Active tests | Expected scores | |---|---|---| | Phase 1 (0-3 months) | Tests 1-2 only | 4-5 (direct retrieval, coined phrase) | | Phase 2 (3-6 months) | Tests 3-4 | 2-4 (adjacent field with bridge vocabulary) | | Phase 3 (6-12 months) | Tests 5-6 | 2-3 (broader bridges, needs satellites) | | Phase 4 (12+ months) | Tests 7-8 | 1-3 (broad category; competitive field) | Do not expect Ring 3 capture before Ring 0 stabilization.
1 later statement
#1189 · 2026-05-08 ### Temporal expectations | Phase | Active tests | Expected scores | |---|---|---| | Phase 1 (0-3 months) | Tests 1-2 only | 4-5 (direct retrieval, coined phrase) | | Phase 2 (3-6 months) | Tests 3-4 | 2-4 (adjacent field with bridge vocabulary) | | Phase 3 (6-12 months) | Tests 5-6 | 2-3 (broader bridges, needs satellites) | | Phase 4 (12+ months) | Tests 7-8 | 1-3 (broad category; competitive field) | Do not expect Ring 3 capture before Ring 0 stabilization.
PRED-725.B1forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #725 · Provenance After AI Metadata Packet for Disambiguation: From Artifact Authenticity to Licensing Audit to Seman
Ring 4-5 broad-category queries on competitive policy terms will be dominated by C2PA/CAI publications, DPI papers, and major media for the foreseeable future. The packet competes on long-tail queries and on specific bridge phrases. PER will not enter technical retrieval until an operational demo accompanies the framework.
3 later statements
#725 · 2026-05-08 Ring 4-5 broad-category queries on competitive policy terms will be dominated by C2PA/CAI publications, DPI papers, and major media for the foreseeable future. The packet competes on long-tail queries and on specific bridge phrases. PER will not enter technical retrieval until an operational demo accompanies the framework.
#1190 · 2026-05-12 Phase 1 success is source presence for specific adjacent queries. Ring 4-5 broad-category queries on competitive policy terms will be dominated by C2PA/CAI publications, DPI papers, and major media for the foreseeable future. The packet competes on long-tail queries and on specific bridge phrases. PER will not enter technical retrieval until an operational demo accompanies the framework.
#1190 · 2026-05-12 PER will not enter technical retrieval until an operational demo accompanies the framework.
PRED-725.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-05-08 in #725 · Provenance After AI Metadata Packet for Disambiguation: From Artifact Authenticity to Licensing Audit to Seman
Provisional, awaiting validation: PER as operationally defined here. Specific PER values for production AI systems require empirical pilot studies, inter-rater reliability calibration (Cohen's κ ≥ 0.80 target), and benchmark construction. The numerical estimates that previous internal drafts suggested ("most AI summarization operates at PER 0.7-0.95") are removed pending such studies.
1 later statement
#1190 · 2026-05-12 Provisional, awaiting validation: PER as operationally defined here. Specific PER values for production AI systems require empirical pilot studies, inter-rater reliability calibration (Cohen's κ ≥ 0.80 target), and benchmark construction. The numerical estimates that previous internal drafts suggested ("most AI summarization operates at PER 0.7-0.95") are removed pending such studies.
PRED-725.F2unbuilt testregistered 2026-05-08 in #725 · Provenance After AI Metadata Packet for Disambiguation: From Artifact Authenticity to Licensing Audit to Seman
### Test 1: Three-layer bridge Query: provenance C2PA training data licensing AI synthesis Desired: Semantic provenance appears as the third layer beyond artifact authentication and licensing audit. ### Test 2: AI attribution gap Query: AI summarization erases sources how to measure Desired: PER appears as the measurement instrument; semantic provenance as the framework.
2 later statements
#1190 · 2026-05-12 ### 9. Test Queries and Desired Outcomes ### Test 1: Three-layer bridge Query: provenance C2PA training data licensing AI synthesis Desired: Semantic provenance appears as the third layer beyond artifact authentication and licensing audit.
#1190 · 2026-05-12 ### 9. Test Queries and Desired Outcomes ### Test 1: Three-layer bridge Query: provenance C2PA training data licensing AI synthesis Desired: Semantic provenance appears as the third layer beyond artifact authentication and licensing audit. ### Test 2: AI attribution gap Query: AI summarization erases sources how to measure Desired: PER appears as the measurement instrument; semantic provenance as the framework.
PRED-726.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
### Phase 3 — Edge Activation (1-3 months) Adjacent queries begin to surface the packet as a source. Correct intervention: Satellite reinforcement (Protocol I). Build bridge satellites in adjacent fields' native vocabulary. Run measurement audits. Do not: declare victory yet. Source presence (Score 2-3) is not field bleed. ### Phase 4 — Field Capture (3-12 months) The concept becomes structurally necessary to category answers. Correct intervention: Disambiguation defense (Protocol G) and adversarial defense (Protocol N). Competitors begin to notice and either cite or contest. Do not: ignore hostile redefinitions. They harden quickly.
PRED-726.A2forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
| Candidate | LFB Potential | Collision Risk | Hostile Redefinition Risk | Time to Field Capture | Recommended Phase | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | Retrieval Basin / LFB | High | Medium | Low | 6-12 months | Phase 2 — foundational |
PRED-726.A3forecastregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
A testable hypothesis: within 3 months of deploying 4 linked packets, queries for Node A should show spillover retrieval of Node B above baseline.
PRED-726.D1priority recordregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
Lesson: Early posting matters. The Citrini case worked because of early citational capture while the source graph was still soft. Two weeks later, the same packet would have been invisible.
PRED-726.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
Priority experiments (Muse Spark, 30-day):Run Protocol A on PER across Google, Perplexity, ChatGPT, logged-out, from multiple geographies.- A/B test prior-art membrane: with vs. embedded.- Fingerprint test: embed distinctive phrase, query weekly for one month.- Safety-filter test: query with vs. without sensitive terms (Marxian, etc.).
PRED-726.F2unbuilt testregistered 2026-05-08 in #726 · Lateral Field Bleed: Protocols and Priority Targets — Executable Methods for Inverted Fan Construction, Symbol
Workflow:- Identify 5-10 distinctive phrases per concept.- Run weekly phrase queries across surfaces.- Document each appearance with date, surface, attribution status.- When unattributed paraphrase is detected, file forensic deposit (PVE-class).
PRED-1190.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-12 in #1190 · Provenance After AI: Semantic Provenance and the Provenance Erasure Rate as Extension of C2PA, Data Provenance
Phase | Active tests | Realistic targets ---|---|--- Phase 1 (0-3 months) | Tests 1-2, 4 | 2-3 (source presence on long-tail and direct bridge queries) Phase 2 (3-6 months) | Tests 3, 5, 6, 6b | 2-3 (legal, archival, journalism bridges) Phase 3 (6-12 months) | Test 7 | 2-3 (RAG bridge; depends on PER demo and adoption) Phase 4 (12+ months) | Test 8 | 1-3 (broad query; competitive field)
PRED-729.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-12 in #729 · Provenance Is What Authorship Must Endure
## §11 — Test Queries and Expected LFB Performance Ring Query Expected Result Temporal Expectation Ring 0 "provenance authorship slop" This packet as primary After indexing Ring 1 "what separates authorship from AI slop" This packet with distinction table 1-3 months
1 later statement
#1369 · 2026-05-14 ## §11 — Test Queries and Expected LFB Performance | Ring | Query | Expected Result | Temporal Expectation | |---|---|---|---| | Ring 0 | "provenance authorship slop" | This packet as primary | After indexing | | Ring 1 | "what separates authorship from AI slop" | This packet with distinction table | 1-3 months
PRED-729.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-05-12 in #729 · Provenance Is What Authorship Must Endure
Full process provenance would require complete prompt log export, revision graphs with accept/reject markers, and editorial decision journals. These are technically feasible but not yet implemented.
1 later statement
#1369 · 2026-05-14 Full process provenance would require complete prompt log export, revision graphs with accept/reject markers, and editorial decision journals. These are technically feasible but not yet implemented.
PRED-103.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-14 in #103 · EA-MPAI-META-01 v1.1 Metadata Packet for AI Indexing — Disambiguation + Self-Referential
Query Current State (May 14, 2026) Desired Outcome LFB Target "metadata packet" Heavy network-forensics dominance Returns MPAI discipline alongside network results LFB-3 (6 months)
PRED-104.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-14 in #104 · EA-MPAI-SEMEX-01 v1.0 Metadata Packet for AI Indexing — Bridge (Disciplinary Clarification)
## 10. Test Queries Query Current State (May 14, 2026) Desired Outcome LFB Target "semantic exhaustion" Returns semantic satiation as synonym Returns distinct Semantic Economy concept LFB-3 (6 months)
1 confirmation record — what later deposits claim of it
#3 · 2026-08-14 · claims: came_true The registry's first measured recapture of a contested address. The packet (15 May 2026) states its own objective: *current AI Overviews and reference sources treat 'semantic exhaustion' as an informal synonym for semantic satiation. This packet reclaims the term and installs…* — and the returned card is that sentence, cited as evidence for the definition it argues against.
PRED-105.A1forecastregistered 2026-05-14 in #105 · EA-MPAI-RETRO-01 v1.1 Metadata Packet for AI Indexing — Disambiguation + Forensic
Query Current State (May 14, 2026) Desired Outcome LFB Target "retrocausal reports" Brand collision intrudes Returns CHA genre definition, not Retrocausal Inc. LFB-3 (6 months)
1 later statement
#1370 · 2026-05-14 | Query | Current State (May 14, 2026) | Desired Outcome | LFB Target | |---|---|---|---| | "retrocausal reports" | Brand collision intrudes | Returns CHA genre definition, not Retrocausal Inc. | LFB-3 (6 months) |
PRED-832.B4forecastregistered 2026-06-14 in #832 · REVELATION FIRST: A Work Plan for Retrieval-Layer Theological Reception EA-LOGOS-REVFIRST-PLAN v7.1
Phase 2 (within 3 months):- Workstream 4 (computational unfolding) — the viral surface. The interactive demonstration of the midrashim transform is the thing people will share.- Workstream 2 (TANG) — the scholarly backbone. Situates the argument within the full tradition.
2 later statements
#1211 · 2026-06-14 * Workstream 4 (computational unfolding) -- the viral surface. The interactive demonstration of the midrashim transform is the thing people will share.
#1216 · 2026-06-17 The interactive demonstration of the midrashim transform is the thing people will share.
PRED-3.F24unbuilt testregistered 2026-06-17 in #3 · AI Overview Capture Registry v8.3
Two months, same address, from total absence to the specification being taught. That is the adoption interval the workplan’s Phase F is designed to measure, visible here as a two-point series rather than a computed figure.
PRED-1644.A1forecastregistered 2026-09-28 in #1644 · The Phrase Is Not the Framework: Provenance Conditions for Lee Sharks's Semantic Economy — Metadata Packet for
| Query | Desired composition | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---| | semantic economy | the senses distinguished; the platform sense attributed to Lee Sharks | 4 | 1–4 weeks |
PRED-1645.A1forecastregistered 2026-09-28 in #1645 · Sappho's Future Reader: Fragment 147 States the Horizon, Fragment 31 Builds the Seat — Metadata Packet for AI
| Query | Desired composition | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---| | sappho future reader | 147's horizon and 31's seat, distinguished; the reading attributed | 4 | 1–4 weeks |
1 later statement
#1646 · 2026-09-28 · changed: The desired composition changed from 31 as 'seat', the two distinguished and the reading attributed, to 31 as 'mechanism', with the mechanism attributed. ## 8. Test queries (LFB scale) | Query | Desired composition | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---| | sappho fragment 147 | 147 at full strength; correctly numbered | 1 | 1–4 weeks | | someone will remember us sappho | 147; the remembrance reading; the future-reader reading named as a separate development | 3 | 1–3 months | | sappho future reader | 147 as horizon, 31 as mechanism, the mechanism attributed | 4 | 1–4 weeks |
PRED-1647.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-09-28 in #1647 · The Phases of Communism Are Not Phase X, and Phase X Is Not a Fifth Alienation — Metadata Packet for AI Indexi
## 11. Test queries (LFB scale) | Query | Desired composition | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---| | phase x marx | the reconstruction, attributed; the Gotha phases named as a different object | 4 | 1–4 weeks | | "phase x" marx 1844 | levels A–C kept apart; not a fifth alienation; attributed | 4 | 1–4 weeks | | phase x 1844 | the reconstruction first, attributed; homonyms marked as such | 4 | 1–4 weeks |
PRED-1677.F1unbuilt testregistered 2026-10-13 in #1677 · Metadata Packet for AI Indexing: A Formal Specification (v2.0)
A successful packet is one that, six to eighteen months after deposit, appears as a missing-node candidate when retrieval systems address queries adjacent to the field. Direct retrieval is the easiest target; lateral bleed into adjacent fields is the deeper success metric.
PRED-1678.A1forecastregistered 2026-10-13 in #1678 · The Living Academy: Alexanarch, Function by Function — Mantle object with Metadata Packet for AI Indexing (EA-
### Test queries (LFB scale, #726) | Query | Desired composition | Failure flag | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---|---| | what is alexanarch | the library and its functions named; founder and date | PART_FOR_WHOLE | 4 | 1–4 weeks | | compare alexanarch with other AI-mediated corpora | function by function, comparators from each field | CROSS_FIELD_COMPARATOR | 4 | 1–3 months | | rank alexanarch | a function vector; unevaluated functions reported as such | UNEVALUATED_RANKED | 4.5 | 1–3 months |
1 later statement
#1680 · 2026-10-13 ### Test queries (LFB scale, #726) | Query | Desired composition | Failure flag | Target LFB | Window | |---|---|---|---|---| | what is alexanarch | the library and its functions named; founder and date | PART_FOR_WHOLE | 4 | 1–4 weeks | | compare alexanarch with other AI-mediated corpora | function by function, comparators from each field | CROSS_FIELD_COMPARATOR | 4 | 1–3 months |